Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-20-24 | Angels v. Astros -190 | 9-7 | Loss | -190 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Houston improved to 6-1 on a 10-game homestand that will continue tonight against the Los Angeles Angels after the Astros beat the Brewers 9-4 on Sunday. Left-hander Framber Valdez (3-1, 2.95 ERA) is scheduled to start for the Astros today. He stuck out a season-high eight while allowing two hits and issuing two walks over seven scoreless innings Wednesday in a 3-0 win over the Oakland Athletics. It marked his second consecutive start of seven-plus innings, with Houston improving to 3-1 over the four starts since Valdez was reinstated from the injured list (left elbow soreness) on April 27. Valdez is 9-4 with a 3.68 ERA over 18 career appearances (14 starts) against the Angels, including 2-0 with a 2.53 ERA and 32 strikeouts in 21 1/3 innings in three starts last season. His nine wins against the Angels are his most against any single opponent. Valdez owns two 13-strikeout performances against them, representing his single-game high. Left-hander Reid Detmers (3-4, 5.19 ERA) has the starting assignment for the Angels in the series opener. He did not factor into the decision of his last start after allowing five runs (four earned) on eight hits and two walks with seven strikeouts over five innings in a 7-6 loss to the St. Louis Cardinals on Tuesday. Detmers is 1-3 with a 6.42 ERA over seven career starts against the Astros. He finished 0-2 with a 10.13 ERA in three starts against them last season, allowing 15 runs in 13 1/3 innings. |
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05-20-24 | Mariners v. Yankees -132 | 5-4 | Loss | -132 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New York's ERA of 2.81 leads the majors, and right-hander Marcus Stroman (3-2, 3.33 ERA) will start today. Stroman's contribution to the winning streak occurred in a 4-0 win at Minnesota on Wednesday when he allowed two hits in six scoreless innings, marking the sixth time he has allowed three runs or less this season. Logan Gilbert (3-2, 3.07), who is coming off consecutive losses, will take the mound for the Mariners today. Since allowing two hits in eight innings in a 5-0 win at Houston on May 4, the right-hander has been tagged for 11 runs on 13 hits in 10 2/3 innings during losses to the Twins and Kansas City Royals. Gilbert is 1-2 with a 7.97 ERA in four career starts against the Yankees. He most recently faced them last May 30 in Seattle, when he was tagged for seven runs on seven hits in four innings of a 10-2 loss. |
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05-20-24 | Mets v. Guardians -121 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Megill pitched well in his first start of the season. He is coming off the IL and hasn’t pitched since March. New York’s bullpen has also been terrible in recent weeks and closer Edwin Diaz has given up four home runs in his last 8.1 innings. Lively has done a good job on the mound for the Guardians, especially at home where he has given up two runs in two starts. He is 3-1 in his last four starts against the Mets and gave up five total runs in the four games. With Cleveland having the second-best bullpen in the league, they will keep New York’s offense in check. |
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05-19-24 | A's v. Royals -165 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Royals are in hot pursuit of the Cleveland Guardians atop the AL Central Division while the A's appear to be fading back to the pack. This pitching matchup should favor the Royals as well. KC is hitting a respectable .254 vs. lefties this season including 27 extra-base hits. KC starter Singer has found his strikeout form again this season and that should bode well against an Oakland team in the top three in strikeouts per game in MLB. Singer had a rough start in Seattle but before that, he allowed just a single run in three straight starts. Singer will keep runners off the bases and the Royals will do enough to pick up the win against Sears. |
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05-19-24 | Mets -139 v. Marlins | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Today's pitching matchup will feature Mets left-hander Sean Manaea (2-1, 3.05 ERA) against Miami right-hander Sixto Sanchez (0-1, 5.96). The Mets are 5-3 when Manaea starts this year, and both of his outings this month go down as quality starts. Sanchez, who has never faced the Mets, is still just 25. He showed promise in limited action in 2020, going 3-2 with a 3.46 ERA in seven starts. However, over the next three years, Sanchez -- due to injuries -- made just one appearance, and that came in 2023 in one inning at Double-A Pensacola. This year, the Marlins are just 2-9 in his 11 appearances. His longest outing this season has been 4 2/3 innings, and that came Monday in a 6-5 loss to the Detroit Tigers. He did not figure into the decision. |
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05-18-24 | A's v. Royals -175 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units Toay's matchup is even more foreboding for the Athletics' ailing offense, as Kansas City will deploy American League ERA leader Seth Lugo (6-1, 1.66). Lugo has not allowed over four runs in a start this season and has pitched at least six innings in all but one of his nine outings. He racked up a career-high 12 strikeouts and stymied the Los Angeles Angels to one run over eight innings in the Royals' 4-2 road win last Sunday. Oakland, will start fellow 34-year-old right-hander Ross Stripling (1-7, 4.98) today. Stripling has lost each of his two most recent outings this season after earning his lone win on May 1, surrendering a total of 14 runs (seven earned) on 14 hits over 6 2/3 innings. He allowed three runs (two earned) on four hits in five frames in the Athletics' 9-2 loss at the Houston Astros on Monday. |
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05-18-24 | Nationals v. Phillies -167 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Phillies do not lose much, but they just dropped the last game in their series against the Mets. The margins are slim at the top of the NL East, so Philly will try to get every win possible to stay on top of the Braves in the division. Sanchez is on the mound for Philly, and he has been excellent at limiting home runs, he has only allowed one homer all season over 42 innings. He has a 3.43 ERA, and the bullpen behind him is strong as the pitching staff is ranked 3rd in the majors with a 3.17 ERA as a group. Washington is 12th on that list, but they have not had much luck with Gore on the mound recently. The Nationals lost four of their last five games when Gore gets the start, and he has given up at least two earned runs in four of those five as well. Even with Turner out, the Phillies still have a long list of capable hitters who can put runs on the board. The Phillies have five players with 21 or more RBIs, which is significant because the team leader on the Nationals is Joey Meneses, and he has just 21 RBIs on the season. Philly has too much offense and will pick up a big win here. |
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05-17-24 | Rockies +150 v. Giants | 5-10 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rockies should be successful against the inexperienced Giants starter Harrison in his second appearance against the ballclub in two weeks. The visitors have been red-hot offensively, scoring 19 runs in three games against San Diego, and won't back down from the challenge against their in-division rival. Considering how inconsistent the SF offense is, I like Colorado's odds of pulling off another upset tomorrow. Felter is coming off a solid start against Texas and has fared well in other appearances against Arizona, Tampa Bay, Toronto, and Miami. At +150 odds, I see value in a wager on the Rockies ML. |
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05-17-24 | Reds v. Dodgers -208 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Now 3-4 on a 10-game road trip, the Reds will try to break even by sending right-hander Frankie Montas (2-3, 4.20 ERA) to the mound. Montas is 0-3 with a 6.38 ERA in his past five starts and will make his third start since returning from a right forearm injury. In two career starts against the Dodgers, he is 0-2 with a hefty 16.20 ERA. Los Angeles will turn to left-hander James Paxton (5-0, 2.58) to start today's game. Paxton enters after holding the San Diego Padres scoreless over six innings Saturday. He has given up more than two runs just twice in seven starts and has not allowed more than four. His most recent outing was the first time Paxton did not issue a walk this season, and it came after he issued a combined 18 free passes over his previous four starts. |
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05-17-24 | Angels v. Rangers -168 | 9-3 | Loss | -168 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Anderson has pitched pretty well this season though he still owns a losing record on the season entering this one. Both teams have struggled of late with the Angels losing five of their previous seven while the Rangers have dropped five of their last six heading into this series. Heaney is still looking for his first win of the season here in mid-May though he’s been better in his last few turns through the rotation. The Rangers are the defending champs and they have a very deep lineup to rely on to help carry the pitching. Meanwhile, the Angels are minus Mike Trout and they’ve had issues putting runs on the board without him in the mix. Give the advantage to Texas at home in this contest. |
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05-16-24 | Mets v. Phillies -143 | 6-5 | Loss | -143 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The New York Mets have not been a reliable squad. The Mets have only won three of their last ten games including defeats in the opening three bouts of this series after an ugly 10-5 loss on Wednesday. The Philadelphia Phillies have the best record in the big leagues and are sporting an 8-2 record in their last ten games. Mets starter Jose Quintana has been a disaster. The veteran has squandered 18 runs in his last four outings spanning only 20.1 innings. Phillies’ starter Taijuan Walker has been outstanding in his last two performances, conceding only four runs in 12.1 innings. I recommend the run line considering four of the Phillies' last five wins have been by two or more runs. |
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05-16-24 | Yankees +107 v. Twins | 5-0 | Win | 107 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Yankees struggled against Ryan last season but that was partially due to the team's frequent strikeouts. They struck out 17 times in 14 innings over his two starts against the Yankees. This year, however, the Yankees are sixth in baseball in fewest strikeouts per game. The likes of Soto and Verdugo also gives the Yankees more potent lefties to throw at Ryan in this game. Additionally, Ryan has been subpar at home this season. Ryan is just 1-2 in four home starts this season with an ERA of 4.63. Yankees righty Schmidt has been outstanding on the road this season with a 2-1 record and a 1.99 ERA away from Yankee Stadium. He has averaged over five innings per start in his four road contests as well. The Yankees have won four of Schmidt's last five starts overall as well. I like the Yankees to close out this series with a win over Ryan and the Twins. |
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05-15-24 | Yankees +119 v. Twins | 4-0 | Win | 119 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The New York Yankees are getting hot. They have won eight of their last ten games including a series win in Tampa Bay this past weekend. The Yankees are solid on the road, standing five games above .500 after a 5-1 win on Tuesday. Yankees’ starter Marcus Stroman has actually been more effective on the road where he has registered a solid 3.52 ERA and a 1-0 record on the season. Also, the Yankees have won in four of his last five outings. Pablo Lopez issued a poor 5.84 ERA in April and the Yankees are one of the better squads in the entire MLB when hitting against righties, posting a remarkable .775 OPS against righties on the season. |
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05-15-24 | Mets v. Phillies -182 | 5-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Phillies starter Suarez will get another chance at continuing his impressive start today evening when the Phillies host the Mets. Suarez (7-0, 1.50 ERA), who threw a 112-pitch complete game April 16 against the Colorado Rockies, has pitched at least seven innings four times this season. The latest instance was in an 8-2 win at the Miami Marlins on Friday, when Suarez struck out nine and allowed three hits in seven scoreless innings. It was Suarez's fourth scoreless outing of the season after he tossed one last season and six in 2022. The Phillies are 22-5 in their past 27 games and became the first team to reach 30 victories when they followed a 5-4 win over the Mets in 10 innings Monday with a 4-0 triumph. |
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05-15-24 | Pirates v. Brewers -138 | 2-10 | Win | 100 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Gasser (1-0, 0.00 ERA) will be opposed by left-hander Martin Perez (1-2, 3.60). Gasser allowed just two hits over six scoreless innings in an 11-2 win over the St. Louis Cardinals on Friday. He became the first pitcher in franchise history to throw at least six scoreless innings and issue no walks in his debut. Gasser, acquired in the 2022 deadline deal that sent All-Star closer Josh Hader to the San Diego Padres, struck out four and hit a batter in his 79-pitch debut. Perez, who will be making his ninth start, allowed four runs in five-plus innings in his latest outing but did not get a decision in the Pirates' 5-4 loss to the Los Angeles Angels on May 8. In three career appearances, including two starts, against the Brewers, Perez is 0-1 with a 5.94 ERA. |
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05-14-24 | Royals v. Mariners -147 | 4-2 | Loss | -147 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Right-hander Michael Wacha (2-4, 5.15 ERA) is scheduled to pitch for Kansas City on Tuesday against Seattle righty Logan Gilbert (3-1, 2.94). Wacha is 1-3 with a 6.39 ERA in seven career starts against the M's; Gilbert is 2-0 with a 5.27 ERA in five previous starts versus the Royals. |
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05-14-24 | Guardians +103 v. Rangers | 7-4 | Win | 103 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Highly touted Rangers pitching prospect Jack Leiter will make his home debut tonight as Texas tries to snap a season-worst, four-game losing streak when it opposes the Cleveland Guardians in Arlington, Texas. Leiter (0-0, 12.91 ERA) made his big-league appearance on April 18 in a 9-7 win at Detroit when he allowed seven runs on eight hits in 3 2/3 innings. He walked three and struck out three. His second start came as the 27th man in the second game of a doubleheader at Oakland on Wednesday. Leiter yielded six runs (four earned), including long two-run homers by Shea Langeliers and Tyler Soderstrom, over four innings in a wild 12-11 Rangers victory. Lively has struck out 26 batters in just 27.1 innings of work this season and has a respectable 1.21 WHIP. |
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05-14-24 | Phillies -135 v. Mets | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Philadelphia Phillies have been one of the hottest squads in the big leagues, posting an 8-2 record in their last ten games. The Phillies have been outstanding on the road where they are seven games above .500. The Mets are two games below .500 at home. Phillies starter Aaron Nola has been reliable, conceding two or fewer runs in all but three of his performances on the season. The veteran has issued a solid 3.40 ERA in his career against the Mets. He has been sharp on the road, producing a 2.29 ERA. Mets' starter Jose Butto has struggled in his career against the Phillies surrendering 13 runs in 14 innings. |
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05-13-24 | Dodgers -175 v. Giants | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Los Angeles has gotten hot again as they have opened up some breathing room in the NL West playoff picture. The Dodgers are a deep lineup and they have gotten production from their big free-agent acquisitions. Stone has been pretty solid as a back-of-the-rotation type of guy this season. Shohei Ohtani is a solid power bat and Hernandez has stepped into the middle of the lineup to put some more pop in the mix. Hicks has been decent after being converted back to a starter but it’s tough to get excited about a guy that tends to go five innings. Give the edge to the Dodgers, especially with their powerful lineup, to get the win here. |
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05-13-24 | Marlins v. Tigers -165 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Right-hander Sixto Sanchez (0-1, 7.50) will make his 11th appearance and fourth start of the season for the Marlins. Sanchez, who didn't appear in a major league game for three seasons after multiple shoulder surgeries, hasn't pitched since May 5, his third straight start. In that outing, Sanchez gave up two runs and three hits in four innings against Oakland. Sanchez has not faced the Tigers in his career. Hinch could stack his lineup with plenty of left-handed batters, as lefties are hitting .379 with a 1.022 on-base-plus-slugging percentage against Sanchez this season. |
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05-12-24 | Royals -123 v. Angels | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Right-hander Seth Lugo (5-1, 1.74 ERA) will make his ninth start of the season for Kansas City. He is 0-0 with a 1.23 ERA in two career games (one start) versus Los Angeles. Left-hander Patrick Sandoval (2-5, 4.85) will make his ninth start of the year for the Angels. Sandoval, the Angels' Opening Day starter, has been a disappointment so far in 2024. |
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05-12-24 | Phillies -225 v. Marlins | 6-7 | Loss | -225 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Phillies are sending out one of their best pitchers, and Miami is sending out a player who has yet to make an appearance in 2024. Wheeler starts here for Philly, he is third the the majors in strikeout and 4th in ERA. He is stringing together a strong season, and the Phils have helped him out at the plate recently as they won four of his last five starts. Miami only has ten wins on the season, and they have lost their last five. Braxton Garrett gets the start here, and taking on the Phillies in the first start of the season is a tall task for any pitcher. Whether or not Schwarber plays, the Phils still have plenty of offensive firepower in Harper, Bohm and company. Philadelphia won both of the first games by at least five runs. |
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05-12-24 | Yankees -131 v. Rays | 10-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Off to a great start, Yankees right-hander Luis Gil (3-1, 2.92 ERA) will try to win his third consecutive start today. In the previous two victories, the 25-year-old Dominican allowed just one run and three hits over 12 1/3 innings. He posted 10 strikeouts and five walks and surrendered a homer to Houston's Kyle Tucker on Tuesday. In his only career appearance against the Rays, on April 21, Gil earned his first win of the season and second of his career by yielding just one unearned run and two hits in 5 2/3 frames. The Rays today will turn to left-hander Tyler Alexander (1-1, 4.96 ERA), who is 0-1 with a 2.03 ERA in four career appearances (two starts) against the Yankees. |
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05-11-24 | Royals -140 v. Angels | 3-9 | Loss | -140 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Angels are in a tailspin, trying to figure out how to survive without Trout and avoid the basement of the AL West. Meanwhile, the Royals are competitive in the AL Central, only a game and a half off the division lead. Tyler Anderson gets the start here for the Angels, he has the best ERA on the team, but they have still been losing games in his appearances lately. They lost their last five games with Anderson on the mound, and it has not been due to a lack of run production from their offense, as the Angels' offense scored five runs in two of his last three games. Ragans is on the mound for KC, and he is in the top ten in the league in strikeouts, he has a powerful arm and should be able to dissect this lineup. The Royals have been strong offensively, they are 8th in the majors in run production and will be able to win on the road against this struggling LA team. |
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05-11-24 | Phillies -125 v. Marlins | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Marlins are going nowhere fast this season as it seems another rebuild is on the horizon. Miami has been beset by injuries with both Eury Perez and Sandy Alcantara recovering from Tommy John surgery while Luzardo along with Edward Cabrera have dealt with injuries themselves. The team dealt Luis Arraez to San Diego earlier this month, taking arguably their best player out of the mix for the rest of this season. Philadelphia has been hot this year and after a couple of rough starts, this seems like a prime chance for Walker to settle in and lower his metrics against a weak Miami lineup. Look for the Phillies to slug their way to a win here as Luzardo likely is going to be limited to avoid a return to the IL, allowing the visitors to take their hacks against a mediocre bullpen. |
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05-11-24 | Diamondbacks v. Orioles -159 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Orioles have won their last three series and three of their last four home games. They have played well offensively at home, scoring more than five runs per game. Expect them to play well offensively in this game because they have hit the ball well against right-handers and Nelson has struggled on the mound for the Diamondbacks, giving up 13 runs in five starts. With Arizona having the seventh-worst bullpen in the league, they will have a hard time slowing down the Orioles in this game. The Diamondbacks have won four of their last five road games. They are also playing well offensively and scored 15 runs in their last three games. But, they will struggle offensively in this game because Means was dominant in his first start of the season and didn’t give up a run in that game. He is backed up by the 10th-best bullpen in the league and won’t have trouble keeping Arizona’s offense in check. Go with Baltimore to cover the money line. |
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05-10-24 | Phillies -195 v. Marlins | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units On the mound, the Phillies will turn to left-hander Ranger Suarez (6-0, 1.77 ERA) to start today's game. Thanks to an elite curve and a fastball that produces a high volume of ground balls, Suarez is 35-21 with a 3.25 ERA in his career. He is 4-2 with a 3.24 ERA in 18 career games (seven starts) versus the Marlins. Miami will turn to left-hander Trevor Rogers (0-5, 6.15) to start today's game. Rogers, 26, is 5-18 since the start of 2022. The Marlins are winless when he starts this season (0-7). In nine career starts against the Phillies, Rogers is 1-5 with a 6.70 ERA. |
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05-10-24 | Diamondbacks v. Orioles -131 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Orioles will try to keep things going with Cole Irvin (3-1, 2.86 ERA) heading to the mound trying to extend his streak of scoreless outings to four games. The left-hander has thrown a combined 20 shutout innings over his past three starts, winning all three. Baltimore won each of the past five times Irvin started. The Diamondbacks will send Brandon Pfaadt (1-2, 4.61) to the mound. He has gone six starts without a victory since he was the winning pitcher in his season debut March 31 against the Colorado Rockies. He gave up a season-high 10 hits in six-plus innings during a loss to the San Diego Padres on Saturday. |
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05-09-24 | Guardians -156 v. White Sox | 2-3 | Loss | -156 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units For most of Chicago's games, picking them to lose in uncompetitive fashion is the smart option. Erick Fedde has been their best starter, but the Guardians have already tagged him for five runs. The White Sox have a bullpen that issues a ton of walks, a dangerous formula against this Guardians lineup. Then, Cleveland's Ben Lively has been holding every offense under three runs this season. Chicago is already the only team that doesn't score at least three runs per game. Expect a blowout win in Cleveland's favor. |
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05-09-24 | Cardinals -125 v. Brewers | 1-7 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Lynn has been modestly effective for the Cardinals this season and has generally kept them in games that he has started. The Cardinals are 3-3 in Lynn's starts this season overall. One key factor has been Lynn's ability to keep the ball in the yard. After giving up 44 home runs last season, he has only given up five thus far on the season and kept his strikeout rate up. The Brewers' Myers has struggled to keep the ball in the yard, giving up five home runs in just 13 innings of work. He has an inflated ERA of 6.23 thus far and the Brewers are 0-3 in games he has started. I like the Cardinals to get a measure of revenge from their previous sweep at the hands of the Brewers and pick up the win. |
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05-09-24 | Diamondbacks v. Reds -123 | 5-4 | Loss | -123 | 3 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Hunter Greene has been solid on the mound for the Reds, but his record does not reflect this. Greene still has a strong 3.12 ERA, but in his last four losses the Reds only scored three total runs. He was getting less than one run of offense per game in his starts, no wonder why he has a losing record. The same will not happen here, as Arizona is sending out Slade Cecconi to start. Cecconi is only making his fourth start of the year, in just three games he has given up three home runs, and has not had a single outing where he held the other team scoreless. In his last performance, he gave up two home runs and six runs in just four innings to the Padres. Cincinnati will be able to get their offensive groove back in this one, as De La Cruz and Steer are both having strong seasons thus far at the plate. Cincinnati is in an offensive slump, but they are still 16th in the MLB in run production, they are far from the worst offense. Cincy grabs the win here in the series finale. |
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05-08-24 | Diamondbacks v. Reds +105 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Arizona's pitching is 22nd in team ERA and is allowing opposing hitters to average .255, which is 24th in the majors. Arizona starting pitcher Jordan Montgomery has struggled in three starts, allowing 10 earned runs in 16 innings, including six runs in three innings last Wednesday when losing to the Los Angeles Dodgers 8-0. Montgomery has a 1.31 WHIP and a -0.2 WAR. Cincinnati starter Graham Ashcraft has a 3.63 ERA and the right-hander has had two consecutive strong outings, giving up just 12 hits and three runs in 12.1 innings. Ashcraft’s WHIP is 1.27 and his WAR is 0.2. |
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05-08-24 | Brewers v. Royals -126 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Milwaukee has sputtered a bit of late with three straight losses before last nights late inning heroics. The Brewers are trying to figure out their rotation as they have issues with Brandon Woodruff not pitching at all this year, Corbin Burnes gone, Freddy Peralta facing a suspension and the back of the rotation guys struggling. Kansas City has a solid lineup and they have gotten stellar work from Singer this season. The Royals have put up a solid 14-8 mark at home on the year. With the advantage on the mound and a better lineup right now, you have to give the edge to the Royals in this contest. |
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05-07-24 | Padres v. Cubs -146 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units National League Rookie of the Month Shota Imanaga will look to continue his stellar debut season when he takes the mound today for the Chicago Cubs against the visiting San Diego Padres. Imanaga (5-0, 0.78 ERA) has sparkled for Chicago since the 30-year-old joined the Cubs after eight seasons in Japan's top league. The left-hander has racked up 35 strikeouts and walked only four in 34 2/3 innings across his six starts this season, all of which Chicago has won. Set to oppose Imanaga on the mound is Randy Vasquez (0-1, 5.87), who will make his third start this season for the Padres. The right-hander was recalled from Triple-A El Paso on Sunday after San Diego placed Joe Musgrove on the 15-day injured list with right elbow inflammation. Vasquez last pitched for the Padres against the Rockies in Colorado on April 25. He surrendered four runs on six hits in 2 2/3 innings and earned a no-decision in San Diego's 10-9 loss. |
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05-07-24 | Brewers v. Royals -119 | 6-5 | Loss | -119 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Milwaukee's Colin Rea (3-0, 2.67 ERA) and Kansas City's Seth Lugo (5-1, 1.60) will take the mound today in a matchup of right-handers. Both pitchers have made one previous start against their Tuesday opponent, both going 3 2/3 innings in a no-decision last year. Rea allowed four runs on six hits, including a home run to Salvador Perez, with two walks with three strikeouts on May 14, 2023. He has a 7.71 ERA in two career appearances against the Royals. Seven of the eight runs Rea surrendered over his past four starts came via five long balls. Lugo faced the Brewers on April 15, 2023, and he allowed three runs on eight hits and a walk with five strikeouts. For his career, he is 1-0 with a 2.16 ERA with nine appearances against the Brewers. |
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05-07-24 | Orioles v. Nationals +197 | 0-3 | Win | 197 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Nationals are coming off a series win over the Toronto Blue Jays and will look to surpass the .500 mark for the first time since July 1, 2021. Baltimore right-hander Corbin Burnes (3-1, 2.61 ERA) opposes Washington righty Trevor Williams (3-0, 2.27) in the opener. Williams has given up two earned runs or less in five of his six starts. He survived five hits and four walks against the World Series champion Texas Rangers on May 1, tossing five shutout innings in a 1-0 win. He escaped bases-loaded, no-out jams in the second and fifth innings. He won his only career start against Baltimore, allowing a run in six innings. |
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05-06-24 | Mariners -122 v. Twins | 1-3 | Loss | -122 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Mariners send their ace to the hill on Monday night against the Twins. Castillo has won three straight starts and has not allowed a run in two of those three starts. He was particularly sharp in his last start, holding the Atlanta Braves' powerful lineup to just three hits and no runs while striking out seven batters in a 3-2 Mariners win. While the Twins have hit the ball better during this hot streak, they do not have a murderer's row of a lineup. Castillo will keep his team in the game and get into the backend of the bullpen today. He has pitched six or more innings in each of his last four starts. The Twins starter, Woods-Richardson, is relatively inexperienced and has had things go in his favor thus far despite giving up more hits than innings pitched this season. His luck will run out in the opener of this series today and the Mariners will open the series with a win. |
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05-06-24 | Tigers v. Guardians -114 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cleveland sports a .417 slugging percentage and .739 OPS at home, with 20 of its 33 long balls coming at Progressive Field. That's despite playing five more road games this season. The Guardians don't strike out too much (seventh-fewest per game) and were only fanned four times by Flaherty in seven innings last year. He may be coming off a stellar performance, but I doubt he'll command the strike zone like he did versus the Cardinals. I expect McKenzie to pitch well against a Tigers club that didn't perform up to expectations over the weekend. Detroit slashes .223/.298/.339/.637 on the road and .220/.301/.356/.656 vs. right-handers this season, as well. He hasn't allowed more than two runs in any of seven career outings versus Detroit and has tallied eight-plus Ks in four appearances. Once he exits, Cleveland's bullpen (2nd in ERA with the fewest HR allowed) will close the door on the visitors! |
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05-06-24 | Giants v. Phillies -190 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The San Francisco Giants are struggling to win games due to the slumping offense. They have dropped five of their last six games. The Phillies have won nine of their last eleven games. The Giants will have Mason Black make his MLB debut. While he has great numbers in the minor leagues this is not ideal against a potent offense. Philly starter, Zack Wheeler is a Cy Young candidate. The ace has been incredible, conceding only one run in his last three performances spanning 18.1 innings. |
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05-05-24 | Marlins v. A's -124 | 12-3 | Loss | -124 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Offensively, these teams are about the same. That is to say, they're unreliable. As with Friday's matchup, whoever executes their pitches better will come out on top. Which is why the A's are the team to side with. Joe Boyle has pitched 10.0 innings and allowed two runs in his past two home starts. Miami's Sixto Sanchez has given up eight runs across his 6.2 innings pitched as a starter this season. Oakland may have MLB's most dangerous bullpen. Roll with the home team, who has a five-game winning streak, to come out on top in today's clash. |
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05-05-24 | Mariners +123 v. Astros | 5-4 | Win | 123 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Right-hander Bryce Miller (3-2, 2.04 ERA) is the scheduled starter for Seattle today. He matched his career highs for innings (seven) and strikeouts (10) in his previous start, allowing one run on two hits and one walk in the Mariners' 2-1 win over the visiting Atlanta Braves on April 28. Miller ranks third among qualified pitchers with a .156 opponent batting average. Miller is 2-1 with a 2.20 ERA over three career starts against the Astros. He was the pitcher of record in the Mariners' 8-3 loss last Sept. 27 after allowing four runs on six hits and one walk with four strikeouts over four innings. Right-hander Hunter Brown (0-4, 9.78) has the starting assignment for the Astros. He allowed six runs on five hits and two walks with a season-high seven strikeouts over 5 1/3 innings but did not factor into the decision of the Astros' 10-9 win over the Cleveland Guardians on Tuesday. Brown threw 97 pitches against Cleveland, his most since a 97-pitch outing against the Baltimore Orioles on Aug. 10, when he absorbed a 5-4 road loss. Brown is 0-2 with a 17.47 ERA over two career starts against the Mariners. In his previous outing against Seattle, Brown allowed six runs on eight hits and two walks with five strikeouts over 2 2/3 innings in a 7-6 home loss on Aug. 20. |
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05-05-24 | Tigers +110 v. Yankees | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Tigers have the better pitcher on the mound and have held a lead in both games of this series, they will finally be able to close one out here. Tarik Skubal has been strong on the mound for Detroit, he has a 4-0 record and is beating the Yankees' Cortes in all categories. Skubal has a lower ERA, has allowed fewer hits and home runs, and has more strikeouts. The Tigers have gone 4-1 in his last five starts, while the Yankees are 1-4 in Cortes' last five starts. The New York offense is very reliant on hitting home runs, and Skubal has only allowed two home runs all year. Detroit won four of their last five before starting this series, they are a strong team sending out one of their best starters, they won't get swept here. |
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05-04-24 | Orioles -114 v. Reds | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Remember how the Reds' relievers are the worst at inducing grounders? That will bite them in the butt against a Baltimore batting order that has bashed more home runs than any other team. Great American Ball Park is the easiest venue to homer in so that matchup is a nightmare. John Means is an unknown for Baltimore when it comes to effectiveness, but his first start since last September won't last long. That just means more innings for a bullpen that's ninth in FIP. The Orioles can slow down Cincinnati enough to let the late comeback happen. Take the Orioles to win on the road. |
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05-04-24 | Marlins v. A's -118 | 4-20 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The most reliable group in this game is Oakland's pitching staff. Paul Blackburn has a 1.42 ERA at home this season. The Athletics' bullpen is leading the majors in ERA. Against an offense that's 25th in scoring, the A's should silence Miami's bats. So, it's up to the A's to score enough runs to win. They're facing a pitcher who has allowed at least three runs in four of his six starts this season. The Marlins have a subpar bullpen. Using their surprising power, which has led to a top-10 homer total, Oakland will score enough to win. |
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05-04-24 | Blue Jays v. Nationals +150 | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Blue Jays have struggled on the road where they are 1-4 in their last five games. They have also lost eight of their last ten games after the defeat on Friday night. The Nationals are looking good, winning five of their last seven bouts. While Kevin Gausman has been solid, the squad has not been winning games when he is on the mound, losing in four of his last five starts. The veteran has issued a poor 4.83 ERA against the Nationals in his career. Nats starter Jake Irvin has been outstanding, conceding two or fewer runs in three of his last four starts. |
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05-03-24 | Red Sox -102 v. Twins | 2-5 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Red Sox right-hander Tanner Houck (3-2, 1.60 ERA) will look to continue his breakout season when he takes the mound in the series opener. Houck, 27, has walked five batters and struck out 41 in 39 1/3 innings this season. In three career starts against the Twins, Houck is 2-0 with a 3.12 ERA. He has walked five and struck out 17 in 17 1/3 innings. Minnesota will counter with right-hander Chris Paddack (2-1, 5.88), who is set to make his sixth start of the season. He has earned the victory in each of his past two starts, although he allowed four runs on eight hits in five innings in his most recent outing against the Angels. Paddack has faced Boston only once in his career, and it did not go well. He gave up six runs on seven hits in 2 1/3 innings, leaving him with an 0-1 record and a 23.14 ERA against the Red Sox. |
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05-03-24 | Angels v. Guardians -171 | 6-0 | Loss | -171 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Everything about this game screams Guardians victory. They're at home, with an offense that's fifth in scoring, against a pitching staff that gives up more than five runs per contest. Offensively, Cleveland shouldn't have any issues. Nor should their pitchers, starting with Tanner Bibee and his 2.96 April ERA. Cleveland is perfect in his outings this season. With a late lead, the Guardians will only turn to a bullpen that has been better than every other in 2024. |
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05-03-24 | Mets +117 v. Rays | 8-10 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Let's check the advantages for the Mets in this game. They average more runs. New York's starting pitcher has a better ERA and FIP. In the bullpen, Tampa hasn't been in the same league this season. Even their records at home (8-9 for the Rays) and on the road (7-5 for the Mets) favor the visiting team. New York is coming off a win, while the Rays have dropped five of six (eight of 10 to stretch it further). Take the Mets to win this one. |
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05-02-24 | Giants v. Red Sox -105 | 3-1 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units There is a common bet trend to fade teams when it appears they will go for a bullpen game, with several different pitchers heading out to the mound for limited innings. The belief is that they do not have one of their powerful starting pitchers on the mound, and the backup team will get hammered by the opposing offense. It is not a bad thought, but it will not work here. Having a bullpen game is not a scary thought when your team literally has the best ERA in baseball. The Red Sox have the best ERA in the majors by a wide margin, as they have a 2.59 ERA and the next best is the Mariners at 3.03. Winckowski has started the past two bullpen games, only pitching in three innings, but both games were wins as they went 17-0 over the Cubs and 6-1 over the Pirates. On top of this, the Giants have been struggling to score lately, as they have scored three or less runs in five straight games. The best bullpen in baseball will flex its muscles here. |
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05-02-24 | Cubs -102 v. Mets | 6-7 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Chicago is right in the thick of the NL Central race as they get ready to open up their series with the Brewers Friday afternoon. The Cubs are missing several key pieces with Justin Steele, Kyle Hendricks, Drew Smyly and Jordan Wicks missing from the pitching staff while Cody Bellinger along with Seiya Suzuki are out of the lineup. Still, the Cubs still keep putting runs on the board and finding ways to hang in games. New York has struggled at putting runs on the board and Houser has had major issues when it comes to his control. Until we see him turn in a couple solid outings, you have to fade him accordingly. Give the Cubs the advantage here on getaway day. |
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04-30-24 | Twins -164 v. White Sox | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Minnesota will continue its dominance of Chicago today. Soroka has been home-run prone in the past two seasons, allowing 16 home runs in 13 appearances. He will have a tough time keeping the Twins (30 HR) in the ballpark on a warm and breezy evening at Guaranteed Rate Field today. Minnesota scored 32 runs in its three-game set versus the Angels and averaged 8.1 runs during its seven-game winning streak. Soroka will face the Twins in consecutive starts, a tall task for any pitcher. I have more faith in Woods Richardson to get through five innings. The Twins have a much more reliable bullpen (third in ERA) than the White Sox (4.40 ERA and 16 HR allowed), as well. With a significant pitching advantage and a hot lineup, the visitors will will win tonight! |
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04-30-24 | Cubs +114 v. Mets | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Right-hander Javier Assad (2-0, 2.00 ERA) is scheduled to start for the Cubs against left-hander Sean Manaea (1-1, 3.33). Assad didn't factor into the decision in his latest start, when he gave up one run over 5 2/3 innings in the Cubs' 3-1 win over the Houston Astros on Thursday. He is 1-0 with a 1.42 ERA in two career games (one start) against the Mets. Manaea also got a no-decision the last time he took the mound. He tossed 4 2/3 scoreless innings -- but gave up four hits and four walks -- in the Mets' 8-2 win over the San Francisco Giants on Wednesday. He is 0-1 with a 4.67 ERA in four games (two starts) against the Cubs. |
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04-30-24 | Royals v. Blue Jays -128 | 4-1 | Loss | -128 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I like the Blue Jays to get some good swings against Ragans in their second meeting with the lefthander in a week. Last year, the Blue Jays batted .272 as a team against lefties and they still have a lineup of solid right-handed bats such as Vlad Guerrero Jr., Bo Bichette, Justin Turner, and Alejandro Kirk to battle the lefty. Ragans has not been as sharp this season as he was in his 12-start stint with the Royals last year. He has given up 33 hits in 30 innings of work already and his WHIP has jumped up to 1.43 compared to 1.07 last year. Berrios took the hard-luck loss against the Royals in that rain-shortened game last week. He has been outstanding thus far with five quality starts in his six starts this season. Berrios has allowed just 26 hits in over 36 innings of work and his WHIP is a tidy 1.04. I'm going with the Jays to avenge last week's rain-shortened loss against Ragans. |
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04-29-24 | Phillies -132 v. Angels | 5-6 | Loss | -132 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Phillies have won four of their last six games. They are playing very well offensively and scored 30 runs in their last four road games. Expect them to play well offensively in this game because they have hit the ball well against right-handers and Canning has struggled on the mound for the Angels, giving up 12 runs in his last three starts. He gave up seven runs in his last two home starts and with Los Angeles having the second-worst bullpen in the league, they will have a hard time slowing down the Phillies in this game. The Angels have lost nine of their last 10 games and four of their last five home games. They have struggled offensively and scored only eight runs in their last three home games. Their offensive struggles will continue in this game because Sanchez has done a good job on the mound for the Phillies, giving up eight runs in his last three starts. He gave up five runs in two starts against the Angels and won’t have trouble keeping their offense in check. |
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04-29-24 | Twins -157 v. White Sox | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both teams come into this series playing better but the Twins are clearly the hotter of the two teams. White Sox starter Crochet is not hot coming in with the ChiSox losing each of his last five starts and Crochet not looking nearly as formidable as he did in his first couple of starts this season. He hasn't been able to get out of the fifth inning in any of his last three starts, including in Minnesota last week. Twins starter Ryan hasn't been dominant but he has been efficient and owns a 3-0 record against the White Sox in his last three starts against them. The Twins offense seems to have come alive and more help may be on the way as SS Correa appears close to return after spending time on the IL. The Twins offense will carry the day today and make it five straight wins over the White Sox. |
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04-29-24 | Yankees +122 v. Orioles | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Yankees come into this series with a bit more momentum than the Orioles and could pounce on the opportunity to attack Rodriguez, who is coming off a poor performance. He was much better in his previous four starts, but his control of the strike zone has been lacking all season (nine walks). The Yankees get on base and have the power to drive in runners in bunches (30 runs in their last two games). If Rodriguez isn't locating his pitches well enough, the Bronx Bombers will make him pay dearly! While Schmidt isn't as hyped as G-Rod, he's been quietly solid for NY this season. He has racked up 20 Ks in his last three starts (15.1 IP) and held three of his last four opponents to two or fewer runs. The Orioles' lineup is formidable, but if he can last five or so innings, the rested Yankees' bullpen (2.74 ERA and 1.13 WHIP) will come through. |
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04-28-24 | Cubs v. Red Sox -133 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Red Sox have won four of their last seven games. They have hit the ball well against left-handers and Wicks has struggled on the mound for the Cubs, giving up eight runs in his last three starts. He gave up 11 runs in his last three road starts and will have a hard time slowing down the Red Sox in this game. The Cubs will struggle offensively in this game because Houck has done a good job on the mound for the Red Sox, giving up only nine runs in five starts. He gave up one run in two career starts against the Cubs and will keep their offense in check once again. Go with Boston to cover the money line. |
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04-28-24 | Phillies +124 v. Padres | 8-6 | Win | 124 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Taijuan Walker's first start of the season comes at the right time, as the Phillies are red-hot. The offense is consistently scoring 5+ runs, so he'll have run support. This bullpen is top 10 in FIP and WAR, so they can shut the door behind him. This is why Walker's initial outing of 2024 will be a multi-run win. Michael King has been walking batters at one of the league's highest clips all season, which is why two of his past three opponents have scored more than five runs against him. San Diego's bullpen is mediocre. Roll with the Phillies to win. |
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04-28-24 | Yankees -127 v. Brewers | 15-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I will take the Bombers running up against a rookie righty in the series finale. Yankees starter Stroman has a good track record against the Brewers and has been effective in his brief tenure with the Yankees thus far. The Yankees have been road warriors thus far with Friday's loss just their fifth on the road this season. The veteran middle of the order, particularly Soto and Judge, should get good swings against Myers on Sunday and help power the Yankees to victory. The two teams are nearly even in the bullpen, each ranked in the top five in bullpen ERA. Runs will be tough to come by in the final few innings so I'm leaning on the Yankees with the edge of Stroman facing the rookie righty. |
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04-27-24 | Pirates v. Giants -140 | 4-3 | Loss | -140 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Jordan Hicks has not allowed more than two runs in a start this season. After three home starts, he has a 1.80 ERA. He is the most reliable force in this game and the reason that the Giants will have a lead after six innings. Pittsburgh's Martin Perez has been getting tagged lately (seven runs allowed in his last two starts), and the Giants have a .257 team batting average against lefties. Expect this offense to score a few runs early. San Francisco will hold on late against a slumping offense. |
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04-27-24 | Phillies +103 v. Padres | 5-1 | Win | 103 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Suarez (4-0, 1.36 ERA) has been the best pitcher on arguably the best starting staff in the majors. He shut down the Reds Monday night over seven innings of a 7-0 win in Cincinnati, allowing only two hits with a walk and five strikeouts. Suarez's current scoreless streak is the longest for a Phillies pitchers since another lefty, Cliff Lee, authored one that lasted 30 2/3 innings from Aug. 17-Sept. 10, 2011. Like Lee, Suarez succeeds more by mixing pitches instead of overpowering hitters. Suarez enters this game with a 2-0 record in five career outings against the Padres, two of them starts. He owns a 2.65 ERA in 17 innings, which doesn't include a win and save in the 2022 National League Championship Series. |
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04-27-24 | Cardinals -125 v. Mets | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units St Louis has won 10 of its last 15 games played at Citi Field in the Big Apple against New York. St Louis has struggled a bit at the plate but on the mound has a 4.11 team ERA, which is not the best, but its ace on the staff will be on the mound Saturday. St Louis Cardinals starting pitcher Sonny Gray has had a strong beginning to his season, allowing 14 hits and just two runs in 16.1 innings pitched, with the Cardinals winning two of his three starts. The only loss St. Louis has suffered with Gray on the mound was 2-0 to Milwaukee. New York starting pitcher Adrian Houser has been inconsistent in four starts. The right-hander allowed a combined three runs in two starts but in the other two starts, allowed a combined 13 runs in 9 Innings pitched. New York has lost three of the four games that Houser has started this season. |
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04-26-24 | Phillies -105 v. Padres | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units The Phillies have won eight of their last 10 games and three of their last five road games. They are playing well offensively and scored 17 runs in their last three road games. They will play well offensively in this game because they’ve hit the ball well against right-handers and Musgrove has been shaky on the mound in recent starts, giving up 10 runs in his last three starts. He gave up six runs in his last start against the Phillies and will have a hard time slowing them down in this game. The Padres have lost two of their last three home games. They struggled offensively during that stretch, scoring only six runs. Their offensive struggles will continue in this game because Nola has been dominant on the mound in recent starts, giving up five runs in his last four starts. He gave up four runs in his last two starts against the Padres and will keep their offense in check once again. |
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04-26-24 | Rays -215 v. White Sox | 4-9 | Loss | -215 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Tampa Bay Rays have not been at their best but this is a great spot to gain some confidence against the worst squad in baseball. The Chicago White Sox are rarely winning games, dropping nine of their last ten games. They could be on the way to 110 defeats this season. The Rays have Zach Eflin on the mound. The veteran has been dominant, posting 12.1 scoreless innings in his last two performances including a gem against the Yankees. He has conceded zero or one run in three of his last four outings. Chris Flexen has been shaky. He has been solid out of the 'pen but has surrendered 13 runs in 13.1 innings in his three starts this season. |
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04-26-24 | Royals +108 v. Tigers | 8-0 | Win | 108 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Lugo has been outstanding thus far with four quality starts of his five starts. He's kept the ball on the ground, thus avoiding big innings despite giving up 30 hits in 31 innings of work. He will benefit from a Tigers team that has not hit the ball well at home and keep them in the park thanks to the daunting dimensions at Comerica Park as well as the ability to keep the ball on the ground. The Royals have shown surprising pop despite a relatively no-name lineup this season. They have 28 home runs but, more importantly, they can generate runs with a lineup that has some speed to complement the power. Olson has yet to win a game this season, has a WHIP of 1.45, and has given up more hits than innings pitched thus far. Look for the Royals to generate runs with speed and execution and Lugo to once again stay out of the big inning. |
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04-25-24 | Padres -144 v. Rockies | 9-10 | Loss | -144 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Colorado's downfall is on the mound as the Rockies are 30th or last in each of the following: ERA, WHIP and batting average allowed. The Rockies cannot offset that poor pitching with hitting as Colorado is just 14th in batting average and 20th in slugging percentage, while producing 88 runs which is only 23rd. San Diego on the other hand has the eighth best team batting average and has scored the seventh most runs, while carrying the 10th best slugging percentage. On the mound, San Diego holds its own with the 10th best team ERA and 14th best batting average allowed at just .234. San Diego starting pitcher Randy Vasquez is just 0-1, but has a 1.80 ERA after allowing just one earned run in five innings last Saturday versus Toronto but the Padres played poorly in the field as San Diego gave up three unearned runs while Vasquez was on the mound. Colorado starting pitcher Dakota Hudson has been hit hard in each of the last three starts allowing a combined 12 runs in just 14 innings and needless to say Colorado lost each of the three games. |
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04-25-24 | Blue Jays +105 v. Royals | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Berrios (4-0, 0.85 ERA) hasn't allowed a run in his last three outings covering 19 2/3 innings. His overall scoreless-innings streak stands at 21 2/3 innings. After posting three consecutive wins, Berrios is off to the best start of his career. In 21 career starts against the Royals, Berrios is 7-5 with a 4.72 ERA, most recently going seven innings and allowing two runs on five hits with seven strikeouts in a 5-2 win on Sept. 10, 2023. Berrios has held Salvador Perez to a .200 average with just three extra-base hits -- all doubles -- in 40 at-bats. Cole Ragans (0-2, 4.32 ERA) will take the ball for Kansas City today. The left-hander recorded just five outs while matching a career high with seven runs allowed on nine hits in a 9-7 loss to the Baltimore Orioles on Saturday. |
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04-25-24 | Brewers -123 v. Pirates | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Peralta (2-0, 1.90 ERA) will hope to limit the bullpen's workload on Thursday. He is 2-1 with a 3.18 ERA in 20 career appearances, 11 starts, against Pittsburgh. In his past two outings combined, Peralta has allowed just one run on nine hits in 12 innings, with two walks and 18 strikeouts. Right-handed pitcher Mitch Keller (2-2, 4.80 ERA) is expected to get the nod on the mound for the Pirates. Keller is 0-4 with a 6.23 ERA in six career starts against the Brewers. |
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04-24-24 | White Sox v. Twins -185 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Twins have won three of their last five home games. They are playing well offensively and scored 12 runs in their last three home games. They will play well offensively in this game because Crochet has struggled on the mound in recent starts, giving up 14 runs in his last three starts. He gave up nine runs in his two road starts and will have a hard time slowing down the Twins in this game. The White Sox have lost five of their last six road games. They aren’t playing well offensively and scored only seven runs in their last four games. Their offensive struggles will continue in this game because they are batting under .200 against right-handers and Ryan has done a good job on the mound for the Twins, giving up 11 runs in four starts. He gave up six runs in three starts against the White Sox, and with Minnesota having the fourth-best bullpen in the league, they won’t have trouble keeping Chicago’s offense in check. |
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04-24-24 | Red Sox v. Guardians -133 | 8-0 | Loss | -133 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Sox need a bullpen game and could be without Casas and possibly Devers. Carrasco fared well enough in his last start and while pitching against the same club in consecutive outings can be challenging, the Sox haven't had enough continuity in their lineup to expect an improved performance this time around. Besides, the veteran righty has looked much better since returning in 2024 and has an elite bullpen backing him up. Cleveland's pen sports a 2.11 ERA and 1.03 WHIP with the most Ks and fewest HR allowed. The Guardians will string together enough hits against Boston's group of relievers to outlast them at home. They rank fifth in hits, sixth in total bases, and ninth in stolen bases per game this year. They're crushing lefty pitchers (.304/.365/.469/.834) and have performed well under the lights (.267/.333/.434/.767), as well. 16-6 both straight-up and against the spread. |
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04-24-24 | Diamondbacks -117 v. Cardinals | 1-5 | Loss | -117 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Montgomery (1-0, 1.50 ERA) won his first start for Arizona over the San Francisco Giants on Friday. He will make his second today as the Diamondbacks face the St. Louis Cardinals to close their three-game road series. The Cardinals won the series opener 5-3 on Monday and the Diamondbacks rolled to a 14-1 victory Tuesday. Montgomery, who spent the bulk of last season with the Cardinals before his trade to the Texas Rangers, went six innings in his first start for the Diamondbacks. He held the Giants to one run on four hits while striking out three and walking nobody. The Cardinals will start Kyle Gibson (1-2, 5.04), who delivered a quality start in his last outing, a 2-1, 10-inning loss to the Milwaukee Brewers on Friday. Gibson allowed one run on three hits and four walks over six innings while getting in sync with catcher Willson Contreras. He is 3-3 with a 2.75 ERA in six career starts against the Diamondbacks. |
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04-23-24 | Orioles -149 v. Angels | 4-7 | Loss | -149 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units These teams are trending in opposite directions, and the same could be said for the starting pitchers. The Orioles are hot, they have won six of their last seven games, and lead the major leagues in home runs with 33 home runs. They have four more home runs than the team in second place, the Red Sox. The Orioles generate runs at a high level, they rank 5th in the majors in run production. The Angels have not fared so well, they have lost four straight, including getting swept by the Reds. The Angels are only 20th in run production, and have not been putting up the same numbers as Baltimore. The Orioles will start Rodriguez here, they are 4-0 in his starts. In the other dugout, the Angels are starting Canning, and they are 0-4 in his starts. There pitching stats gives a big edge to the Orioles, as Rodriguez has 11 more strikeouts, has given up two fewer home runs, and has a much better ERA at 2.64, while Cannings is 8.05. |
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04-23-24 | Padres -155 v. Rockies | 4-7 | Loss | -155 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Colorado offense has stalled out, and will have a tough time keeping up with San Diego's offense in this one. The Rockies have only generated four runs over the past three games combined, and are taking on the Padres who are in the top ten in runs scored, home runs and batting average as a team. It is a landslide in almost all statistical categories, the Padres have outscored the Rockies 118-80 this season, with ten more home runs, and a much lower ERA. The Rockies have the worst ERA in all of baseball at 5.88, as the thin Denver air is hurting them more than it helps. Colorado's starter Feltner has an ERA over 5, and will struggle to get out of innings against Tatis, Machado and company. Michael King has been far better on the mound, even in his only loss he struck out ten batters and only allowed two hits. San Diego will cruise an an easy victory here. |
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04-23-24 | A's +190 v. Yankees | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Oakland has been playing much better since its 1-7 start to the season. It gutted out a clutch win on Monday with just four hits, holding New York scoreless with zero extra-base hits. Now, it turns to Blackburn, who has been rock solid in 2024 and has fared well against the Yankees in the past. Plus, the Yankees are slashing just .227/.335/.351/.686 at home and really need Aaron Judge (.174 BA and 31 Ks in 86 ABs) to break out of his slump soon. With Stroman on the bump, I like Oakland's odds of at least keeping the final score close. The Yankees' starter got off to a solid start but wasn't as sharp in his last two appearances, putting eight runners on base in each outing. He gave up a home run in each of these starts and fanned just two Blue Jays in his last appearance. The A's may not be the most intimidating offense, but they're playing with some confidence. As long as Blackburn can give his team six innings of quality pitching, I like the value of a bet on the A's. |
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04-22-24 | Orioles +107 v. Angels | 4-2 | Win | 107 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Grayson Rodriguez bullied the Angels in his season debut on March 30. He punched out nine across six frames while giving up just an earned run on four hits and a walk. Since then, Rodriguez has allowed two earned runs in each of his next three starts. On the other side, Reid Detmers met the O’s on the last day of March and fanned seven across five innings. He emerged victorious, allowing one earned run on two hits and three walks. Detmers has been outstanding so far this season, and Rodriguez has been nothing short of spectacular, too. I’m backing the Orioles to come out on top because of their offense. Baltimore has been killing the southpaws over the last ten days, posting a ridiculous 259 wRC+ in 76 plate appearances (.444/.474/.750 triple-slash). |
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04-22-24 | Padres -173 v. Rockies | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rockies have not been winning many games this season, and they are not going to win games in back to back days, especially while taking on San Diego. The Padres have far more offensive firepower, they have big name stars in Tatis and Machado, as well as up and comers who have been producing in Profar and Merrill. The pitching edge goes to San Diego here, Cease has 27 strikeouts to just 11 walks while giving up only one home run, while Gomber only has 18 strikeouts and has given up four home runs in the same amount of starts. Even with their recent struggles, the Padres are still sixth in the majors in home runs. and the Rockies are dead last in team ERA at 6.06. San Diego gets back on track and opens up this series with a big win. |
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04-22-24 | Blue Jays v. Royals +101 | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Toronto left-hander Yusei Kikuchi (1-1, 2.08 ERA) will take the mound to open the series. In seven career starts against the Royals, Kikuchi is 1-2 with a 6.37 ERA, earning the lone win on April 4, 2023, while allowing a run on three hits over five innings. Hunter Renfroe has a home run among three hits in five at-bats against Kikuchi. Right-hander Brady Singer (2-0, 1.54 ERA) will start for Kansas City today. Singer is 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA in three career starts against the Blue Jays, having won the most recent outing on April 3, 2023, while allowing a run on two hits in five innings. Varsho has a home run in five at-bats against Singer. The Royals have won all four of Singer's 2024 starts as he has allowed no more than two runs in any outing. All four runs allowed over 23 1/3 innings scored on homers. Singer's .163 opponent batting average ranks third in the American League. The development of a split-change has helped him induce more weak contact. |
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04-21-24 | Tigers +106 v. Twins | 6-1 | Win | 106 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Tigers have won two of their last three road games. They are playing well offensively and scored 16 runs in their last three games. They will play well offensively in this game because Varland hasn’t looked good on the mound for the Twins, giving up 15 runs in three starts. He gave up six runs in his last start against the Tigers and will have a hard time slowing them down in this game. The Twins have lost six of their last eight games. They have struggled offensively and scored nine runs in their last three games. Their offensive struggles will continue in this game because they are batting under .200 against right-handers and Mize has been solid on the mound, giving up seven runs in three starts. He gave up five runs in two road starts and with Detroit having the best bullpen in the league, they will keep Minnesota’s offense in check. Go with Detroit to cover the money line. |
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04-21-24 | A's v. Guardians -180 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Stripling hasn’t earned a win in the majors since the 2022 campaign as he was 0-5 with the Giants last season ahead of being 0-4 this year. The A’s have hung tough early on this season and have been better than expected in the early going. Cleveland got the win in the opening game of this series as they were solid with runners in scoring position, going four of seven in those situations. The Guardians have had a lot of success in the early going this season and if Bibee can throw more strikes than he has in the early going, Cleveland should be in good shape here. Look for the Guardians to earn the victory in this contest. |
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04-21-24 | Rays +117 v. Yankees | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
MLB Free Pick - Tampa Bay at NYY Although they are 14-7 in their first 21 games, the Yankees are 2-4 in their past six games. During that span, New York had a four-run ninth in Wednesday's 6-4 victory at Toronto, then put together a five-run seventh on Friday. Right-hander Aaron Civale (2-1, 2.74 ERA), who has completed six innings in three of his first four starts of the season, concludes the series for the Rays. Civale last pitched on Tuesday, when he took a no-decision after allowing three runs on five hits in six innings of Tampa Bay's 7-6 win over the Los Angeles Angels. Civale was acquired from the Cleveland Guardians ahead of last season's trade deadline. Yankee starter, Right-hander Luis Gil (0-1, 3.86) hopes he can display better command of the strike zone when he makes his 11th career start on Sunday. Gil has walked 14 in 14 innings across his first three outings. He issued seven free passes in five innings on Monday, also allowing three runs and three hits while taking a loss against the Toronto Blue Jays. Michael has been SCORCHING HOT with his selections, making his $100 per Unit Clients OVER $3,500! Don't miss all off his WINNERS today! |
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04-20-24 | Rangers +137 v. Braves | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units In four starts, Texas pitcher Nathan Eovaldi has allowed eight runs in 24 ⅔ innings but five of those eight were in just one start, while holding three opponents to just three runs across 18 ⅔ innings. Atlanta starter Charlie Morgan has been roughed up in each of the last two outings, allowing 10 runs in 10 ⅔ innings while striking out 12 but walking six. Atlanta will play without second baseman Ozzie Albies, who thus far this season has five doubles, two home runs and 14 RBIs. Albies production at the plate will be missed in this series with Texas. Texas has won 16 of its last 20 played on the road and the Rangers have won four of the last six played on the road against Atlanta. The Braves have struggled a bit on the mound with a team ERA of 4.41 and WHIP of 1.33. Saturday's starting pitcher for Atlanta, Morton has an ERA that is even higher than the team average at 5.29. |
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04-20-24 | Diamondbacks -120 v. Giants | 3-7 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Diamondbacks’ starter Zac Gallen has been dominant, allowing zero or one run in three of his four outings this season. He issued six scoreless innings against the Cardinals in his previous outing. The Diamondbacks have won in three of his four starts. Giants’ starter Kyle Harrison is an inexperienced pitcher. He has given up 10 runs in his last 17 innings pitched. |
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04-20-24 | Marlins v. Cubs -157 | 3-2 | Loss | -157 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Chicago will turn to right-hander Javier Assad (2-0, 2.16 ERA) for the opener of the twin bill. Assad's latest start was also against Seattle, and he came away with a victory after allowing two runs on four hits in 5 2/3 innings on Sunday. Assad has never faced Miami in his career. Going up against a pair of pitchers with sub-2.20 ERAs could pose a challenge for the Marlins, who fell to 4-16 on the season with an 8-3 loss to the Cubs on Friday. Miami totaled six hits in the setback, with three of them coming in the ninth inning. Southpaw Jesus Luzardo (0-2, 7.65 ERA) will attempt to keep Chicago at bay in Game 1 of the Saturday doubleheader. Luzardo escaped with a no-decision against the Atlanta Braves on Sunday despite surrendering five runs and seven hits in five innings. |
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04-19-24 | Brewers -125 v. Cardinals | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With former Brewers ace Corbin Burnes pitching for the Baltimore Orioles and Brandon Woodruff recovering from shoulder surgery, Freddy Peralta has emerged as Milwaukee's staff ace. Peralta (2-0, 2.55 ERA) has been up to the task while striking out 26 batters and walking two in 17 2/3 innings in three starts. He will face a Cardinals lineup that is failing to generate much offense. The Cardinals have scored three runs or fewer in five straight games and in 10 of their past 11. While Peralta has been on point for the Brewers, Kyle Gibson (1-2, 6.16 ERA) has struggled for the Cardinals since signing as a free agent. He has allowed five homers in 19 innings over his three starts. Gibson took the loss in his last start on Saturday. He allowed four runs on six hits -- including Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s three-run homer -- and three walks in six innings against the Diamondbacks. Gibson is 1-2 with a 5.44 ERA in eight career starts against the Brewers. |
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04-19-24 | A's +157 v. Guardians | 2-10 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The surprising A's begin a three-game series and 10-game road trip when they face the Cleveland Guardians on Friday. Oakland begins the series on a hot streak after winning seven of its past 11 games, including a 6-3 victory over the St. Louis Cardinals on Wednesday. The Athletics will send rookie right-hander Joe Boyle (1-2, 5.68 ERA) to the mound in the series opener. He allowed one run on five hits and one walk over five innings in a 3-1 loss to the Washington Nationals last Saturday. Boyle, 24, went 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA in three starts with the A's last season. He is making his first appearance against the Guardians. Cleveland will counter with right-hander Triston McKenzie (1-2, 6.23), who is looking to bounce back after giving up six runs (five earned) on four hits and six walks over four innings in an 8-2 loss to the New York Yankees last Saturday. The 26-year-old McKenzie has struck out five batters and issued 12 walks in his first three outings covering 13 innings. |
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04-19-24 | Marlins v. Cubs -165 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Right-hander Jameson Taillon will finally make his season debut today when the host Chicago Cubs open a four-game set with the Miami Marlins. After a strong season with the New York Yankees in 2022, Taillon took a step back with Chicago in 2023, going 8-10 with a 4.84 ERA. He went 4-6 with a 4.62 ERA at home, and only one of those wins came before the All-Star break. Activated from the 15-day injured list on Thursday, Taillon (back) is 2-0 with a glistening 0.54 ERA in three career starts against Miami. Left-hander A.J. Puk (0-3, 5.91 ERA) will try to slow down Busch and the Cubs when he makes his fourth start of the campaign today. Puk had never started a game prior to this season, and he hasn't had a smooth transition into his new role. In each of his first three outings this year, Puk has lasted no longer than 4 2/3 innings, a mark he reached on April 9 in a loss to the New York Yankees. Puk yielded two runs (one earned) on four hits and five walks against New York. Puk is 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA in four career relief appearances against Chicago. |
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04-18-24 | Diamondbacks +150 v. Giants | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I like the value of a bet on the Diamondbacks ML at roughly +150 odds. Webb hasn't been terrible, but he's put too many runners on base this season (17 in his last two starts combined). He isn't striking out a lot of batters, either (five or fewer Ks in all four starts). Arizona has plenty of offensive weapons and is averaging 5.7 runs per game. Given the Giants' struggles on offense, I don't expect Nelson to struggle much. San Francisco has scored three or fewer runs in eight of its last twelve games and is slashing .233/.307/.370/.677 vs. right-handed pitchers this season. Webb may be the bigger name, but I believe Nelson will hold his own. With early run support, he should last long enough to give his tired bullpen a rest. Besides, I'm not confident the Giants will have better luck against the D-Backs' pen. If anything, bettors should be wary of the home team's relief group (5.05 ERA). |
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04-17-24 | Yankees -102 v. Blue Jays | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Toronto is scheduled to start struggling Kevin Gausman (0-2, 11.57 ERA) today against fellow right-hander and former Blue Jay Marcus Stroman (1-1, 2.12). Stroman is 0-0 with an 0.82 ERA in two career starts vs. Toronto. This will be the second time Stroman has pitched in Toronto since he was traded to the New York Mets during the 2019 season. He held the Blue Jays to one run over five innings with the Chicago Cubs on Aug. 30, 2022. Gausman is 10-8 with a 3.27 ERA in 32 career outings (26 starts) against the Yankees. He allowed six runs (five earned) over 1 1/3 innings in a 9-8 loss in New York on April 6. He followed that last Friday by permitting six runs on 10 hits over 3 2/3 frames to the Colorado Rockies in a 12-4 loss. |
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04-17-24 | Royals -188 v. White Sox | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Royals are off to a great start this season and part of that success is due to the return to form of starting pitcher Singer. Singer has found his strikeout pitch again after struggling in 2023 with just 133 strikeouts. He is well ahead of that pace this year and looks like a top-two starter in the rotation. The Royals are hitting home runs at a fast pace already with 20 on the season and that doesn't bode well for White Sox starter Fedde. Fedde has already given up five home runs in just three starts this season. The White Sox, as a team, are hitting just .200 as team this season and have struck out 132 times as a team. |
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04-17-24 | Braves -134 v. Astros | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Atlanta has won seven of the last 10 and 10 of the first 15 to start the season. Houston has lost five of the last seven and dating back to last season have lost 15 in the last 20 at home. At the plate, Atlanta is first in team batting average, on-base percentage and slugging percentage, while third in runs scored. Houston is next to last in team ERA at 5.35 and 28th in batting average allowed (.265). Atlanta starting pitcher Max Fried is coming off a solid outing in which the left-hander gave up four hits and one run in 6 plus innings last Friday with Atlanta defeating Miami 8-1. Houston starting pitcher J.P. France is off to a slow start. Across three outings, the right-hander has allowed 14 runs in 15 plus innings while striking out 12 but walking seven. Houston has lost each of France’s three starts. As mentioned twice previously, Houston is playing without four starting pitchers from last season's starting rotation, due to injuries, which puts more pressure on both the starting rotation and bullpen. |
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04-16-24 | Cardinals -139 v. A's | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Oakland’s lineup is one of the worst in baseball. The current Athletics are only 10-for-43 with three home runs and four RBI against Lance Lynn. The A’s own an 85 wRC+ against the right-handed pitchers in April, so it’s hard to trust them in this matchup. I cannot take the A’s even though their bullpen has been terrific so far this month. The Cardinals have a 98 wRC+ against the southpaws in April and are 4-for-11 with a home run and two RBI versus JP Sears. Their bullpen has registered a strong 2.23 ERA and 2.63 FIP so far this month (40.1 innings pitched), so I’m backing the Cards to come out on top. |
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04-16-24 | Giants -132 v. Marlins | 3-6 | Loss | -132 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Giants split their last four games. They are playing well offensively and scored 16 runs in their last three road games. Expect them to pay well offensively in this game because they have crushed left-handed pitching this season and Weathers has been shaky on the mound, giving up six runs in three starts. He gave up three runs in his lone home start, and with Miami having the third-worst bullpen in the league, they will have a hard time slowing down the Giants in this game. The Marlins have lost nine of their last 10 home games. They are playing well offensively and scored 13 runs in their last three home games. But, they will struggle offensively in this game because they haven’t hit the ball well against right-handers and Hicks has been brilliant on the mound this season, giving up three runs in three starts. He gave up one run in his lone start against the Marlins and will keep their offense in check. Go with San Francisco to cover the money line. |
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04-15-24 | Cardinals -171 v. A's | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Sonny Gray's first start as a Cardinal was strong, and he'll return home as a pitcher that limits damage consistently. Behind him is a solid bullpen. Against an Athletics offense that is still among MLB's worst, expect St. Louis' pitching to keep Oakland in check. Meanwhile, the Cardinals will get hits off Ross Stripling, as his H/9 (13.0) is the reason that Oakland keeps losing his starts. St. Louis will get runs early and often. They should parlay that into a multi-run victory on the road. |
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04-15-24 | Padres v. Brewers +111 | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Milwaukee Brewers will look to bounce back behind resurrected right-hander Joe Ross when they host the San Diego Padres today in the opener of a short three-game homestand. Ross (1-0, 1.80 ERA), who missed most of the last two seasons after a second Tommy John surgery, makes his third start for Milwaukee. Right-hander Joe Musgrove (1-2, 6.87), who gave up one hit over eight innings the last time he faced the Brewers, gets the nod for the Padres. Musgrove was charged with four runs on five hits in four innings in his most recent start, a 5-1 loss to the Chicago Cubs on Tuesday. He allowed a leadoff homer in the fifth then left three batters later with the bases loaded. Reliever Stephen Kolek then surrendered a grand slam to the first batter he faced. Musgrove is 1-3 with a 4.04 ERA in eight career starts vs. Milwaukee. |
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04-15-24 | Royals -170 v. White Sox | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The White Sox will send right-hander Nick Nastrini to make his major league debut today. Nastrini, 24, was acquired from the Los Angeles Dodgers ahead of last year's trade deadline for right-handers Lance Lynn and Joe Kelly. Nastrini has made two starts at Triple-A Charlotte, going 0-1 with a 7.71 ERA. He made five appearances (three starts) in spring training this year, going 0-1 with a 3.77 ERA. The Royals will send right-hander Seth Lugo (2-0, 1.45 ERA), who will be making his fourth start of the season. In his most recent start last Wednesday night against the Houston Astros, Lugo earned his second win of the year, allowing two runs on seven hits in six innings, striking out two. Lugo, who is 1-0 with a 1.23 ERA in his career against Chicago, will be making his second career start (third appearance) against the White Sox. Lugo allowed one run on eight hits over 6 2/3 innings, striking out three and walking two against the White Sox on April 4 to earn his first win with Kansas City. |
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04-14-24 | Reds -156 v. White Sox | 11-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Chicago isn't going anywhere, but Cincinnati could be on the verge of a breakout season. The Reds have power, potential, and pitching — the White Sox have none of those things. The visitors will jump on Soroka early, giving Ashcraft the run support necessary to turn in a quality start. The Reds' SP hasn't been lights out, but he has fanned 11 batters in 11.1 IP and held the Phillies to two earned runs in his season debut. After facing Philadelphia and Milwaukee, he should find it much easier to work through the Sox lineup. |
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04-14-24 | Braves -143 v. Marlins | 9-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units This Marlins squad has been miserable at home. Not only are they winless, but all but one of those defeats came by multiple runs. Matching up a struggling Jesus Luzardo, who has started three losses, against an Atlanta offense that's arguably MLB's best, is a nightmare matchup. Charlie Morton's lone road start of 2024 was what every team wants, scoreless. The Braves' bullpen has had issues, but Miami's offense is among MLB's weakest. This is another game where they can succeed. |
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04-14-24 | Brewers +179 v. Orioles | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Brewers have been road warriors this season. They have won three straight road games and six of their last seven overall. They are playing well offensively and scored 27 runs in their last three road games. Expect them to play well offensively in this game because they feasted on right-handed pitching this season and they’re batting over .290 against righties. Even though Corbin has pitched well this season, he hasn't been as sharp at home, and with Baltimore’s bullpen struggling in recent games, they will have a hard time slowing down the Brewers in this game. The Orioles have lost two of their last three home games. They are struggling offensively, scoring only six runs in their last three home games. Their offensive struggles will continue in this game because Rea has done a good job on the mound for the Brewers, giving up three runs in two starts. He didn’t give up a run in his lone start against the Orioles last season and will keep their offense in check. Go with Milwaukee to cover the money line. |
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04-13-24 | Cardinals -104 v. Diamondbacks | 2-4 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Arizona starter Ryne Nelson has an 8.33 ERA. The Diamondbacks have lost five of the last seven, five of the last six at home versus St Louis and Arizona is 2-4 in its last six against an opponent from the National League. St Louis is 14-6 in the last 20 versus Arizona and 5-1 in the last six on the road against the Diamondbacks. St. Louis is a solid 3.99 in team ERA. Arizona is allowing opponents to hit .246 and before winning two straight had lost five straight, allowing five runs or more in each of the five losses. Arizona is 25th in errors per game, committing an average of 0.85. |
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04-13-24 | Giants v. Rays -105 | 11-2 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Tampa Bay is 4-1 in the last five games, while San Francisco is 3-7 in the last 10 games, and 2-4 in the last six in the six versus Tampa Bay. San Francisco has lost nine of the last 12 in April. Tampa Bay starter Ryan Pepiot was hit hard in his first outing, but bounced back strong last time out when holding Colorado, at Coors Field, to three hits and no runs in six innings. Logan Webb has allowed nine runs in 19 ⅔ innings for an ERA of nearly 5.00. San Francisco’s team ERA is 27th at 5.06 and is allowing teams to average .262 at the plate. Tampa Bay’s Isaac Paredes is off to a strong start with four home runs and 10 RBIs. |